Thoughts on Al-Yazid’s death
Ok my wrist hurts like all hell but I just can’t help myself.
There is NO fricking formal number three position in AQ. OK??????????
And *if* there was, he’s NOT it.
And for what it’s worth I don’t actually think him being taken out will do much.
Why? Well if we’re talking Afghanistan, even though he was the nominal ‘commander’ of AQ in Afghanistan there were more people in my high school class than what AQ has in Afghanistan at any given time. His death won’t affect AQ in Afghanistan and he wasn’t a skilled military strategist in any case.
And in relation to AQ External Operations, where he *may* have had a more active role, and which is the part of AQ that really poses the most threat to the US, the real business goes on lower down the food chain, and goes into AQ Senior Leadership via a different coms chain.
Regarding media. He was on a tight leash after his screw up last year. And while he was trotted out every now and then for videos and statements, what he said was highly scripted after last year and there’s still others who can make statements. Though it does mean AQ might have to bring out someone else from the shadows.
There will be an impact in AQ’s finance management, but being the type of person he is, he would have trained someone else. Also AQ doesn’t really finance attacks the way it used to anyway. And people still go for training using their own money. They go home using their own money. If AQ does dish out money it’s for the attacks and the types of attacks they’ve done means this isn’t a lot of dosh we’re talking about, and even if his death does leave a gap in administration of accounts etc, someone should be able to scrounge that up. Now if we’re talking about larger scale attacks, it could have an impact.
But what has me interested is the mention of who he died with. That’s unusual. I can’t remember who his daughters were married to but I noticed it said they were killed as well as some other men.
I’m betting more than one significant figure got taken out, and this is a means of letting people in the know, know who else got taken out. I could be totally off the mark here, but it struck me immediately that this was a lot of detail for no other obvious purpose.
So what I want to know is who else? That will be a more significant indicator of how much impact the strike had.
Ok wrist hurting. That’s enough for me for a while.